This is a Short Reality based
fictitious account of a future India- Pakistan Nuclear War.I have used real
unit names and base locations to describe how a surgical strike to decapitate
the Pakistani Military Machine could Rapidly Spiral out of Control into a
Brutal Nuclear Conflict within the space of a few hours. All Capabilities and
weapons systems described are real to the best of knowledge available from open
sources.
All information herein has been
gathered from OPSINT sources only.
Nuclear fallout calculated via
Missile Range Rings via
Chapter 1
19/03/2022: 0015hrs
The War had begun with an audacious midnight strike 24 hrs. earlier
by Pakistan based terrorists into the Indian Army II Corps HQ located in Ambala
in the Indian State of Punjab killing 15 Indian Servicemen& Family members
and ended only after special forces had killed all 6 terrorists involved .This
strike coming only six years after a similar strike had killed 18 Indian
Soldiers at Uri incensed the general populace in India and put the Ruling NDA
dispensation under heavy public pressure to act. This time there were no
endless meetings or discussion, the PM had already given his assent for a
military response in case of another strike Post Uri during a meeting held then. This
night the PM & Cabinet were being transferred to a Bunker built under the
Aravalli hills outside Delhi.Once there the PM signed a few orders as formalities
for a military response, recorded a statement that would be played on Indian
Channels from 0330hrs and finally on his advisors insistence retired went to rest till 0300hrs.
Brahmos LACM unit |
19/03/2022: 0315hrs
The Villagers of SriGanganagar in North Rajasthan and Dolatpar
in Gujarat were shaken awake in the early hours by a series of loud booms, they
stepped outside their huts to see numerous spirals of smoke rise and snake away
to the west. Little did they know they had just heard the sonic booms created
by 140 Brahmos missiles as they went supersonic , the Indian Army’s 861 &
862 mobile missile regiments had just launched a punitive Brahmos LACM strike
on Pakistani Military bases in Karachi, Hyderabad,Gujranwala,Multan, Lahore
& Bahawalpur. Operation Sledgehammer had begun!
Pakistani Air Defence FM-90 unit |
19/03/2022: 0320hrs
The Klaxons blared as
protective batteries of LOMADS,Crotale’s, Aspide’s and FM-90’s fired furiously trying
to bring the incoming missiles down, but this was no ordinary subsonic cruise
missile or aircraft these systems were designed to counter. The Brahmos is the
fastest cruise missile in active service in any military of the World and there
was no way these SAM systems were going to stop many of them from reaching
their targets .As many as 110 of the launched 140 missiles slammed home. The units
of the Pakistan Army worst hit were
1)
II Corps based at Multan
2) IV Corps based at Lahore
3) V Corps based at Karachi
4) XXX Corps based at Gujranwala
5)
XXXI Corps based at Bahawalpur
6) 1 Armored Division at Multan
7)
6 Armored Division at Gujranwala
8)
PAF Masroor at Karachi
9)
PAF Mushaf at Sargodha
10) PAF Nur Khan Rawalpindi
11)
PAF Faisal Karachi
12) PAF Rafiqui Shorkot
13)
Pakistan Naval Headquarters Karachi
14) 22 Artillery Division Sargodha
15) 21 Artillery Division Pano Aqil
19/03/2022: 0330hrs
The Pakistani Prime minister was jolted awake by four SSG
men who had stormed into his bedroom. These grim bearded men gave him no
answers on why & where he was being taken. It was only after the Convoy
entered the Nuclear Bunker built by the Pakistan Army under the Margalla Hills close to
Islamabad that he realized something major had happened. Moments later he was
recording a prewritten condemnation of Indian Hostilities to be transmitted to
the whole country repeatedly from 0400hrs. The Pakistan Army Chief was an angry
& worried man, the Indian Military had just destroyed 40% of his war waging
capability in a massive single strike. There was only one way he could steal
victory from the jaws of defeat. The Pakistani PM was given no choice in the
matter as he signed orders authorizing a strategic nuclear strike on the Indian
Cities of Delhi & Mumbai.
Shaheen II Intermediate Range Ballistic Missile with TEL |
19/03/2022: 0400hrs
The ground shook as six massive Chinese built 12 x12 MAZ-547
analogues moved out of their bunkers and moved to launch pads built adjoining the
XII Corps HQ in Quetta. A few minutes later six vertical columns of smoke could
be seen snaking away into the skies as half a dozen Shaheen-II missiles powered
their way to hit some of India’s largest cities. Each of these missiles had
been armed with a single 45Kt warhead -the largest that Pakistan has ever
successfully tested.
Chapter 2
Effect of 45kt Nuclear airburst above Delhi |
19/03/2022:0400
India is one of the four countries in
the world to have successfully developed an Anti-Ballistic missile defense system.
Officially the System is yet to be deployed though most analysts believe that
the system is operational since 2007 and actively protecting key cities. On 6
May 2012 Dr. V K Saraswat confirmed that Phase-I is complete and can be
deployed to protect two Indian cities at a short notice. India is also reported
to have purchased & deployed up to 6 batteries of the Russian S-300VM LRSAM
in 1995 which has a limited BMD Capability
The Swordfish Long Range Tracking Radar based close to Delhi first detected three missiles heading on a trajectory towards the National Capital. Almost immediately the hitherto classified AAD & PAD launchers based around the city began firing interceptors at the inbound missiles. Delhi also had a single S-400 battery complementing its missile shield which also started firing it’s interceptors at the oncoming missiles. Thirty seconds later each incoming Shaheen had nine interceptors heading for it. Two Shaheens were knocked out of the Skies but the third one exploded in a fiery airburst 500mtrs over the junction of Akbar Road and Janpath in New Delhi. As the Nuclear Fireball rolled down the wide tree lined avenues that Lutyens had designed in the early 1900’s it left behind a trail of death and destruction. By the time the fires stopped burning 385,400 Delhiites were dead and 1,268,130 further people were suffering from various degrees of radiation burns. Mumbai was a little less lucky and despite a similar AAD + PAD combination protecting it two missiles hit it exactly 5 seconds apart one each in the heart of central Mumbai and Navi Mumbai by the time the Sea breeze blew the Mushroom cloud away 584,790 Mumbaikars were dead and another 2,208,120 were suffering from various degrees of radiation burns.
The world had just
witnessed the first nuclear attack since Hiroshima.
Effect of 45kt Nuclear Airburst above Mumbai |
Effect of 45Kt Nuclear Airburst Above Navi Mumbai |
19/03/2022 0405hrs
The Indian Prime Minster had felt
the blast as the bomb hit Delhi in his bunker below the Aravalli hills, he knew
what had to be done. Sitting in from of him was the Leader of the Opposition,
the Raksha mantra, the NSA, Chief of India’s strategic forces command along
with the Air force Chief and Army Chief. It was now or never, the phone lines
had already started to ring with leaders from Moscow, Beijing and Washington
trying to speak to him, trying to undoubtedly stop what they knew India had to
do! The Third Eye of Shiva Had to Open!
Agni 1Range ring when launch from TELAR close to Jaipur |
Indian Army AGNI 1 SRBM |
19/03/2022:0410hrs
The 8X8 TATRA TELARS of the 334
Missile group shook violently in the soft glow of the dawn as Eight AGNI 1
missiles rode columns of fire into the skies and made their way to their
targets in Pakistan. Six of them were armed with a single 60Kt warhead- the
most powerful India has ever successfully tested. While the other two were
armed with an upgraded version of the same thermonuclear warhead designed for a
200Kt yield.
Effect of 60 kt nuclear Airburst over Islamabad |
Effect of 60 Kt Nuclear Airburst over Rawalpindi |
19/03/2022:0412hrs
Pakistan has no known BMD capability,
there are reports of some Chinese HQ-9 LRSAM units having been acquired by the
Pakistani forces. However these units also have a very limited BMD Capability.
For all practical purposes it can be considered that Pakistan has no defence in
the case of a BMD strike.
Dawn had just started to break
over Islamabad as the first of three Agni’s destined for the twin cities of
Islamabad and Rawalpindi was detected by a Pakistan ZDK-03 AEW&C on Patrol
above the cities. Two HQ-9 batteries protecting both cities furiously fired off
eight interceptors however as the HQ-9 is not a dedicated BMD system only one
Agni was intercepted. The 2nd and 3rd Agni missiles hit
Islamabad and Rawalpindi almost simultaneously with nuclear airbursts 500ft
above ground. Islamabad was hit in the middle of its elitist Blue Zone with the
fireball barreling down both sides of the iconic Jinnah Avenue while Rawalpindi
was hit close to the Railway station, the beautiful colonial era structure
crumbling into dust immediately as the blast wave ripped apart the columns erected
by the British in 1881. By the time a Himalayan breeze coming down from the
Margalla Hills had dissipated the twin Mushroom clouds as many as 461,600
residents had been vaporized while another 1,088,640 people lay injured from
various levels of radiation burns. By Sheer luck the HQ-9 had taken out the
third Agni carrying a 200kt warhead Islamabad would yet live to see the next
sunrise.
Effect of Karachi being hit by a 200kt Airburst weapon |
Effect of Malir Cantonment area in Karachi being hit by a 60 Kt Airburst Weapon |
19/03/2022:0414hrs
As the Fishermen of the Sindh coast made their way into the
Arabian Sea they suddenly saw two massive flashes and saw two mushroom clouds
arising from the direction of Karachi, Little did they know they had just
witnessed the destruction of the ancient port city from whence Alexander the
great had sailed for Babylonia. While the Agni carrying the 60kt warhead
exploded above the Malir Cantonment area of Karachi the heart of Karachi was
seared by the nuclear fire of a 200kt thermonuclear blast right above its
beautiful Defence housing Authority area. As the Clouds lifted relatively
quickly with the Sea breeze pushing the radiation further inland Karachi was
left devastated with 1,344,970 Karachiites dead & a further 2,888,670
injured with Radiation burns.
The other three
Indian missiles hit Lahore, Hyderabad and Faisalabad simultaneously. Lahore was
hit close to its elite Cavalry Grounds area killing 220,590 people and injuring
another 1,160,990.The final two missiles hit Hyderabad and Faisalabad in the
heart of both cities killing 3,58,720 and 5,87,380 people respectively!
Effect of Lahore being hit by a 60Kt Nuclear Airburst |
Effect of Hyderabad being hit by a 60Kt Airburst |
Effect of Faisalabad being hit by a 60 Kt Nuclear Airburst. |
19/03/2022:0420hrs
The Chinese President and American President had just
finished speaking to their Pakistani & Indian Counterparts, both nations
lay devastated with over 3.3 million people dead. They had just impressed on
their counterparts to desist from further escalation by threatening retaliation on both nations by Chinese, Russian and American Forces.It was imperative the nuclear skirmish did not escalate to prevent a Nuclear winter which would kill billions globally. India would launch no further
assault & Pakistan would not launch any further missiles. The
first nuclear exchange since Hiroshima had ended… for now!